Media
Sept 13, 2017
By Erin Voegele
The U.S. Energy Information Administration has increased its 2017 and 2018 ethanol production forecasts in the September edition of its Short-Term Energy Outlook. The U.S. is now expected to produce 1.03 million barrels of ethanol per day this year, increasing to 1.04 million barrels per day next year. Last year, production averaged 1 million barrels per day. In the August STEO, the EIA predicted 2017 ethanol production would average 1.02 million barrels per day, falling to 1.01 million barrels per day in 2018.
On a quarterly basis, the EIA predicts ethanol production will average 1.03 million barrels per day during the third and fourth quarters of this year. During the first quarter of 2018, ethanol production is expected to be maintained at 1.03 million barrels per day, increasing to 1.04 million barrels per day during the second and third quarters, and increasing to 1.05 million barrels per day during the fourth quarter of next year.
The EIA currently predicts an average of 940,000 barrels of ethanol per day will be blended into motor gasoline this year, maintaining the 2016 blend volume. In 2018, ethanol blending is expected to increase to 960,000 barrels per day.
The STEO also notes U.S. regular gasoline prices reached $2.69 per gallon on Sept. 11, up 29 cents per gallon from Aug. 28 and the highest weekly average since August 2015. EIA forecasts the average U.S. regular gasoline retail price will be $2.61 per gallon in September, falling to $2.40 per gallon in October. These prices are 25 cents per gallon and 10 cents per gallon higher, respectively, when compared to the forecasts made in the August STEO. Regular gasoline prices are expected to fall to $2.23 per gallon in December.
The EIA’s most recent weekly ethanol production data shows production reached 1.047 million barrels per day the week ending Sept. 8, down from a near record setting 1.06 million barrels per day the previous week. The current weekly ethanol production record sits at 1.061 million barrels per day and was set the week ending Jan. 27.
The EIA’s most recent monthly import data shows the U.S. imported 252,000 barrels of ethanol in June, all from Brazil. During the same month, the U.S. exported 2.21 million barrels of ethanol, primarily to Canada, Brazil, and India.
Ethanol producers looking to expand beyond our shores may be looking at China as an export destination. RFA CEO, Bob Dineen, said in a recent column in Ethanol Producer Magazine that the RFA, along with Growth Energy, joined the USDA in a recent trip to China to explore the potential of exporting ethanol and dried distillers grains with solubles (DDGS) to Asia's second largest economy.
The American Lung Association of Minnesota is hosting a series of workshops on B10 this month to help diesel retailers and farmers better understand the state's requirement for diesel and biodiesel fuel.
From July 1 to Sept 30, all #2 diesel fuel in Minnesota will contain 10% biodiesel (B10). Following September, all #2 diesel will revert to containing 5% biodiesel (B5). From 2015 onwards, B10 will be available from April 1 to Sept 30 while B5 will be available in the other months.
With the EPA's decision on 2014's Renewable Volume Obligations (RVO) for ethanol production expected to be announced in the near future, the agency may want to take a closer look at current crude oil prices which have been trending upwards.
A strong basis for the Renewable Fuel Standard, which was enacted in 2005 and expanded under the Energy Independence Security Act (EISA) in 2007 was to wean America off foreign oil.
The shale oil boom is now leading to crude oil exports from the US for the first time since the 1970s, reports the Wall Street Journal.
The report said two companies have been given permission to export shale oil, lifting an export ban on crude oil that has been in place since the 70s.
Sales of E85 in both Minnesota and Iowa were up in the first quarter of 2014. Based on data from the Minnesota Department of Commerce, E85 sales in Minnesota in the first quarter totaled 3.77 million gallons, representing a 49 percent increase from 2.52 million gallons reported in the same period of 2013.
In Iowa, E85 sales in the first three months of this year amounted to 2.7 million gallons, up 48 percent from the first quarter of 2013, reports Domestic Fuel.com.
A new advertisement from Americans United For Change ties high pump prices to the current turmoil in Iraq and argues for ethanol production levels under the Renewable Fuel Standard (RFS) to be maintained.
In particular, the ad urges viewers to notify the EPA to maintain the 2014 renewable volume obligations for ethanol as stipulated in the RFS. The EPA, as widely reported, has proposed to reduce ethanol consumption this year. Watch the video below.
As if there aren't enough problems associated with fracking (ie: minor earthquakes, radioactive waste), the Wall Street Journal today reports that Bakken Shale drillers have been burning excessive natural gas that are a byproduct of hydraulic fracturing.
According to the report, drillers burned 10.3 billion cubic feet of natural gas (valued at $50 million) in April which in turn has degraded air quality in towns in North Dakota that are in close proximity to the oil wells.
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Today's Star Tribune ran a story that's been the topic of the month : high gas prices. As the fourth of July weekend approaches, motorists looking to travel up north for the holiday weekend are feeling it in their wallets as pump prices reach the highest point they've been since 2008.
As we've written on countless occasions, the recent spike in gas prices is a direct result of the ongoing conflict in Iraq, although just about any global uncertainty (re: Ukraine), sends traders into a panic and the price of crude oil goes up. Consumers, in turn, feel the pinch (no prizes for guessing who profits from this).
The Renewable Fuels Association's (RFA) recent report on current practices by oil companies to block the sale of E85 and E15 is nothing short of explosive. While we've all suspected for some time that oil companies weren't necessarily on the renewable fuels bandwagon, this report details specific practices employed by oil companies to block the availibility of E85 and E15.
The report has made a significant enough impact that it has led Senators Amy Klobuchar and Chuck Grassley, from Minnesota and Iowa respectively, to demand a federal probe to investigate the allegations made by the RFA in the report.
The Environmental Protection Agency's (EPA) final rule on biofuel consumption for 2014 may be higher than the reduced levels it proposed in November 2013, said Sen. Al Franken, according to various reports today.
Franken reportedly said the EPA would scale back on the reductions it originally proposed but that the final ethanol consumption level for 2014 would still be lower than the renewable volume obligations (RVO) under the Renewable Fuel Standard (RFS) which originally called for the consumption of 14.4 billion gallons of ethanol this year. The EPA, in November last year, proposed reducing it to 13.01 billion gallons.
A big debate has erupted in Chicago over the city's proposal to require many gas stations to sell E15. Proponents for E15 want it to replace the mid-grade 89 octane gas sold in most stations in the city, a move which makes sense considering that E15 blended with 87 octane gas would produce a fuel with an octane rating of closer to 90. And it would be cheaper than 87 octane gas.
For the last seven months, the biofuel industry has been left in limbo with regards to the Renewable Volume Obligations (RVO) under the Renewable Fuel Standard (RFS) for 2014. The fact that it has taken this long has had a negative effect on ethanol producers as well as investments into advanced biofuels. Uncertainty has done the industry no good.
As we get closer to the mid-term elections in November, expect to see ethanol and the biofuels industry-at-large getting caught in partisan crossfire throughout the corn belt states. One such event transpired in Iowa this week.
As if the oil and gas industry needed another tax break. A new report by the Wall Street Journal today says that American oil and gas companies are paying less in federal income taxes as a result of the domestic energy boom.
Sales of E85 in Minnesota in 2014 as at end-May jumped 41.7 percent to 4.79 million gallons from 3.38 million gallons that was recorded in the same period in 2013.