In the News

Reuters

May 23, 2014

By Ayesha Rascoe

The Obama administration is likely to partly backtrack on proposed steep cuts to renewable fuel targets for 2014 when it finalizes a rule due out in June, industry sources said.

Biofuel groups expect the Environmental Protection Agency to send the final proposed targets to the White House as soon as Friday.

The EPA shocked biofuel supporters in November with a draft rule that slashed federal requirements for biofuel use in gasoline and diesel. The agency argued that U.S. energy markets could not absorb the levels of renewable fuels that would be required by a 2007 law.

Since then, though, rising projections for gasoline consumption give the agency leeway to raise its corn ethanol target from November's proposal of about 13 billion gallons to about 13.6 billion, a biofuel industry source said.

The more gasoline consumed, the more ethanol that can be absorbed before hitting the "blend wall," the point at which the law would require more ethanol to be used than the 10 percent blend found at most U.S. gas stations.

The rumored adjustment would still leave the corn ethanol target for 2014 far below the 14.4 billion gallons called for by law, and will likely enrage oil companies who lobbied hard for cuts to the targets.

The industry source said administration officials have told stakeholders that "no one is going to be happy" regarding the final rule.

The Renewable Fuel Standard requires increasing amounts of various types of biofuels to be blended into U.S. gasoline and diesel supplies each year through 2022.

Citing the looming blend wall, the EPA issued a proposal last year to cut the overall biofuel use target from 18.15 billion gallons to 15.21 billion gallons, the first overall cut in the program's history.

Refiners said the reductions were necessary to prevent crippling compliance costs for their industry and possible fuel shortages.

Tim Cheung, an energy analyst for ClearView Energy, also predicted an ethanol requirement of 13.6 billion gallons. He noted the targets could be raised higher if EPA estimates there will be more consumption of the 85 percent ethanol blend, known as E-85, used in flex-fuel vehicles. An estimated 10.6 million such vehicles are now on U.S. roads.

Biodiesel producers said Wednesday the administration has hinted that it plans to leave the biodiesel target at the proposed 1.28 billion gallons, while slightly raising the overall target for advanced biofuels from 2.2 billion gallons.

"This decision would have lasting, damaging consequences for the jobs and economic activity supported by the U.S. biodiesel industry, while undermining your efforts to boost U.S. energy security through clean, domestic energy production," Joe Jobe, chief executive of the National Biodiesel Board, said in a letter to President Barack Obama.

Jobe said raising the advanced biofuel target, without increasing the biodiesel requirement, would merely encourage large amounts of imports of Brazilian sugarcane ethanol.

Read the original story here : U.S. may adjust 2014 corn ethanol target after outcry: sources

Global Renewable Fuels Alliance

May 21, 2014

TORONTO, Canada – Today, as the International Transport Forum Summit gets under way in Leipzig, Germany, the Global Renewable Fuels Alliance (GRFA) in cooperation with (S&T)2 Consultants Inc. released their Global Green House Gas (GHG) Emissions Reduction Forecast for 2014. The GRFA is forecasting global ethanol production and use in 2014 to reduce GHG emissions by over 106 million tonnes.

(S&T)2 Consultants Inc., an internationally renowned energy and environmental consulting firm, in partnership with the GRFA have produced data that shows that year after year the reduction in global GHG emissions from global ethanol production is increasing. This year’s figure reveals that 90.38 billion litres of global ethanol production and use in 2014 will reduce global GHG emissions by over 291,000 tonnes per day. Compared to 2013, this is an increase of over 7000 tonnes per day in GHG emission savings.

“This data is good news for the environment,” said Bliss Baker, spokesperson for the GRFA. “Ethanol consumption is the largest single contributor to GHG reductions in the transportation space,” added Mr. Baker.

This year’s theme for the International Transport Forum Summit is “Transport for a Changing World”. As attendees discuss clean and sustainable transport for the future they should recognize that global ethanol production is reducing GHG emissions from the transportation sector today. In fact, the projected GHG reductions from ethanol this year alone is equivalent to removing over 21 million vehicles from the road each year.

106.4 million tonnes in Green House Gas emissions reduction is equal to:

• 21,279,808 cars being removed from the world’s roads in 2014 OR removing more than all of the vehicles registered in Malaysia off the road annually.
• 58,300 cars being removed from the world’s roads daily OR removing more than all the vehicles registered in Saint Lucia off the road daily.
• Removing the annual emissions from 14 average-sized coal-fired power plants.

“Biofuels like ethanol are the only cost-effective and commercially available alternative to crude oil and are proven to reduce harmful GHG emissions and help in the fight against climate change,” stated Baker.

“We believe International Transport Forum Summit participants should call for an increase in ethanol production and use given the significant contribution ethanol is making to reducing global GHG emissions today,” concluded Baker.

Read the original story here : Global Ethanol Consumption To Reduce GHGs By Over 106 Million Tonnes In 2014

The Des Moines Register

April 8, 2014

By Christopher Doering

The Obama administration has halted investments in advanced biofuels plants following its proposal last year to reduce how much renewable fuels must be blended into the country's fuel supply in 2014, an executive representing the industry told Senate lawmakers Tuesday.

"What the (Environmental Protection Agency) proposal did, first the leaked version in October and then in November is frozen everything," Brooke Coleman, executive director of the Advanced Ethanol Council, told sympathetic lawmakers on the Senate Agriculture Committee. "Every single one of my companies. There are no exceptions."

The EPA, which oversees the country's Renewable Fuel Standard, proposed in November cutting the fuel requirement in 2014 to 15.2 billion gallons of ethanol and other biofuels, 3 billion gallons less than Congress required in a 2007 law. As part of that, EPA proposed requiring 2.2 billion gallons of advanced biofuels, including agricultural waste, wood and grass, to be used in 2014, far below the 3.75 billion outlined in federal law.

Coleman said if the EPA raises the levels in its final 2014 rule, the advanced biofuel industry would benefit. "If that's done we will recover and we will recover well," he said.

The final rule is expected to be issued by the EPA in late spring or early summer.

After years of delays and millions of dollars spent ramping up production, three large-scale U.S. cellulosic plants will open this year. DuPont Cellulosic Ethanol, which is building a 30 million gallon per year cellulosic ethanol plant near Nevada, Iowa, will use corn stover as its feedstock when it ramps up production.

Jan Koninckx, DuPont's chief on cellulosic renewable fuel, told lawmakers the fuel will initially cost more before the price comes down.

"The product will at first . . . be more expensive than corn ethanol and more expensive than fossil fuel but over time this will come down," Koninckx said. "We continue to anticipate to be competitive with oil at about $80 per barrel."

Lawmakers outside of ethanol producing states have proposed to end or significantly overhaul the Renewable Fuel Standard.

"I don't know what would happen if you put the Renewable Fuel Standard to a vote today in the United States Congress," Sen. Heidi Heitkamp, D-N.D. "We'd like to think we'd maintain it. . . but that may not be factual."

One measure, introduced by Sens. Dianne Feinstein, D-Calif., and Tom Coburn, R-Okla., would greatly diminish the importance of the Renewable Fuel Standard by removing the component that requires fuel to be made from corn. Smaller mandates for advanced biofuels such as cellulosic would remain in place. Others would cap how much ethanol could be blended into gasoline at 10 percent.

Iowa, the country's largest ethanol producer, has 42 refineries capable of producing over 3.8 billion gallons annually, with three cellulosic ethanol facilities under construction.

Read the original story here : Ethanol Proposal Has Stopped Investments In Advanced Biofuels, Industry Tells Senators

Renewable Fuels Association

April 9, 2014

WASHINGTON — For the third year in a row, Americans, by an overwhelming majority, consistently support the Renewable Fuel Standard (RFS) and other key federal initiatives supporting the expanded use of ethanol. A new national poll conducted by American Viewpoint found 65 percent of adults support the RFS, while just 26 percent are opposed. Support for the RFS has been steadily rising. In 2013, 64 percent polled supported the policy, up from 61 percent in 2012.

As you may know, there is currently a renewable fuels standard that requires a certain amount of the fuel produced each year to come from ethanol, bio-diesel and other renewable sources that aren’t fossil fuels to reduce foreign oil dependence and greenhouse gas emissions. Do you favor or oppose this requirement?

Favor: 65%
Oppose: 26%
Don’t Know: 8%

RFA’s President and CEO Bob Dinneen commented, “It is telling that support for the RFS continues to grow in spite of the relentless attacks on ethanol and the RFS financed by Big Oil’s deep pockets. Repeatedly Americans have decisively said they place a premium on energy independence, job creation, and a cleaner environment. For these reasons and more, Americans overwhelmingly support the RFS for its ability to strengthen this great nation. Members of Congress and the Obama Administration should review this data before taking action to reduce or eliminate a program with broad national appeal and tangible energy and environmental benefits.”

Expanding on the polling results, Dinneen continued, “Americans see great value in investing in the next generation of fuel, cellulosic ethanol, and they support the idea of an open fuel standard which encourages the manufacturing of cars that run on any number of alternatives to petroleum. In fact, Americans appear to have a visceral dislike for the billions and billions of dollars in government subsidies and special tax treatment that Big Oil has enjoyed for 100 years.”

The government has considered giving incentives to help fund the expansion of a new fuel known as Cellulosic ethanol, which is a biofuel produced from wood, grasses and other non-edible parts of plants. Do you favor or oppose these incentives?

Favor: 66%
Oppose: 24%
Don’t Know: 9%

Do you favor or oppose requiring automobile manufacturers to build cars that will run on fuel sources other than oil, such as electricity, natural gas and bio-fuels?

Favor: 78%
Oppose: 19%
Don’t Know: 3%

As you may know, oil companies receive four to five billion dollars in government subsidies and special tax treatment and incentives for things like equipment depreciation, oil depletion allowances, and foreign investment tax credits for taxes they pay in foreign countries. Do you favor or oppose these tax incentives?

Favor: 22%
Oppose: 66%
Don’t know: 11%

The new poll was commissioned by RFA and conducted by American Viewpoint. The poll was conducted via phone with a sample size of 1,000 adults. Margin of error in the poll is +/- 3.1 percent. Approximately 40 percent of respondents were contacted by cell phone.

Linda DiVall, President of American Viewpoint, analyzed several keys themes from the polling results:

“Despite the barrage of negative advertising targeting ethanol recently, ethanol’s image has held strong, largely unchanged from last year. More telling is the fact that the unfavorable rating of oil companies has climbed five percentage points to 47 percent, with a plurality of Americans rating oil companies unfavorably.”

“That rise in negative opinion of oil companies certainly manifests itself in the 66 percent of adults polled who desire a level playing field among fuels and resent the subsidies and special treatment oil companies have held onto at the expense of the American taxpayer.”

DiVall concluded, “The ethanol industry must not be deterred from telling its story. It should stand proudly and champion its ability to significantly reduce greenhouse gases, lower our dependence on foreign oil, create quality jobs, and reduce fuel costs for American drivers. Ethanol, thanks in large part to the RFS, is a fuel with a proven track record of success and a promising future.”

Read the original story here : New Poll : For 3rd Year In a Row, Americans Overwhelmingly Support The RFS

Ethanol Producer Magazine

April 15, 2014

By Susanne Retka Schill

The continuing shifting relationships between ethanol, corn and gasoline are the subject of two analyses done by Iowa agricultural economists for the AgMarketing Resource Center newsletter.

Don Hofstrand takes a look at the increase in corn production cost and how the saturation of the ethanol market may impact the profitability of the ethanol supply chain, and how these profits may be distributed between corn farmer and ethanol producer.

Robert Wisner examines the question of the changing relationships among ethanol, gasoline, crude oil and corn prices.  “Corn supplies, barring another period of adverse weather, appear ample for both feed and fuel needs for the next few years if the corn-starch ethanol industry capacity remains near the current level,” he writes.

In a series of charts, Wisner compares corn prices to crude oil since 2003 as well as gasoline, diesel and jet fuel prices versus crude prices.  In the case of gasoline and ethanol prices, the higher cost of transporting ethanol by rail or truck compared to pipeline for gasoline has widened the spread between the two. “Also, as supplies increased, ethanol prices tended to more fully reflect ethanol’s lower energy content than gasoline.  The energy content of ethanol is about two-thirds that of gasoline, although part of the value difference is offset by ethanol’s higher octane content and the ability of refiners to produce cheaper low-octane gasoline and upgrade the octane level with ethanol.  In early 2006, ethanol prices were about 80 percent of the price of gasoline.  By early 2014, with the domestic ethanol market nearly saturated, ethanol prices at Iowa plants were about 58 percent of retail gasoline prices.”

While serious rail transportation impediments have moved wholesale ethanol prices higher, he continued, that is expected to be temporary. “Whether ethanol prices will weaken relative to gasoline in the next few years will depend heavily on whether the domestic market can be expanded beyond the current blend-wall saturation level.”

Hofstrand refers to an analysis for a hypothetical Iowa corn farmer looking at revenue, costs and net returns since 2000. While corn prices have shown significant volatility, product costs have gone up at an increasing rate over this time, and essentially doubled since 2000. “The trend has been relatively stable except for 2009 where cost increased substantially but then fell back in 2010.  Seed, fertilizer, diesel fuel, machinery repairs, etc. have all increased substantially over the 15 year period.  Only herbicide cost has bucked the trend,” Hofstrand writes.

In his discussion of the historical trends and projections for the future, Hofstrand adds that if lagging ethanol demand “cannot continue to mop up excess corn supplies, corn prices may drop below the cost of production.  If this happens, there will be considerable downward pressure on production costs.”

Hofstrand also briefly reviews the potential for ethanol prices to weaken relative to gasoline. “With the expected emergence of cellulosic ethanol production and increasing government mandates for its use, shrinkage of the corn starch ethanol market is an additional factor that may affect total returns and profits shown here.”

Read the original story here : Iowa Economists : 2014 Ethanol Prices Drop To 58% Of Retail Gas

Des Moines Register

April 21, 2014

By Donnelle Eller

Experts on Monday criticized a new University of Nebraska-Lincoln study, saying it used “worst-case” assumptions to determine that cellulosic ethanol creates more carbon emissions than gasoline.

The report from Adam Liska, an associate professor at Nebraska, says crop residue used to make cellulosic ethanol creates 7 percent more greenhouse gas emissions in the short-run than gasoline emissions and are “above the 60 percent reduction in greenhouse gas emissions” required by the federal government.

Tom Vilsack, the U.S. secretary of agriculture, said the study makes “certain assumptions about farming operations” that “aren’t a reality. It’s not what’s happening on the ground.

“If you make the wrong assumption, you’re going to come up with the wrong conclusions,” said Iowa’s former governor, who was in Des Moines on Monday. “It’s unfortunate.”

The U.S. Department of Energy provided a $500,000 grant over three years for the study, published Sunday in a peer-reviewed journal, Nature Climate Change. The research attempts to quantify, over 12 Corn Belt states, how much carbon is lost to the atmosphere when the stalks, leaves and cobs that make up residue are removed and used to make biofuel, instead of left to naturally replenish the soil with carbon.

The university said the study “casts doubt on whether corn residue can be used to meet federal mandates to ramp up ethanol production and reduce greenhouse gas emissions.” The federal government has provided more than $1 billion in funding to support what it believes is greener cellulosic ethanol development.

In November, the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency proposed pulling back how much renewable fuels — including corn-based and cellulosic ethanol and biodiesel — must be used in the U.S. fuel supply. EPA has reduced the target for the cellulosic industry five times, given the industry’s difficulty in meeting the volumes.

Jennifer Dunn, an environmental team leader at the Argonne National Laboratory, said the study looked at “extreme levels of corn stover removal — up to 100 percent.”

A study from Dunn and others in 2012 found that biofuels made with corn residue were 95 percent better than gasoline in greenhouse gas emissions. That study assumed some of the corn stover harvested would be used to create energy and replace power produced from coal.

“The general consensus has been that we would manage corn stover removal to avoid adverse impacts to soil health, including a decline in soil organic carbon,” Dunn said.

Dunn said several plants are creating energy to power their own cellulosic plants, a fact not factored into the Nebraska study. That includes Poet-DSM, which is building a $250 million cellulosic plant in Emmetsburg.

Another Iowa plant, DuPont Nevada, says its $225 million facility has the potential to reduce greenhouse emissions by more than 100 percent. It’s under construction west of the Story County town.

“The companies behind these plants have really striven to emphasize the sustainability of their feedstock, including the soil carbon aspect. It’s why there is only a certain level of stover that can be removed from the field.

“Everyone knows that if you take the whole thing off, it’s going to cause problems,” she said. “That’s not even debated. ... Nobody wants to damage their soil health.”

Dunn and others say farmers look at soil carbon on a “sub-field level” to determine how much stover can be sustainably removed.

Liska said in an email that his study looked at stover removal at 25 percent, 50 percent and 75-100 percent, and the rate of carbon emissions was constant. “It is likely that no matter what level of residue is removed, the carbon intensity stays the same,” he said.

Douglas Karlen, a research soil scientist with USDA’s Agriculture Research Service, said the amount of stover removal used in the model isn’t physically possible. “If you could take off 75 percent of the corn stover, I’m not sure where you would put it,” he said.

Karlen said Iowa farmers would take off 1 to 1.5 tons per acre of stover from their fields. The study model would remove 2.68 tons per acre.

“You’d be stacked up with corn bales that are miles long,” said Karlen, who has worked with both Poet and DuPont in Iowa, among other companies, on ensuring sustainable amounts of stover are removed. “The machinery can’t take off 75 percent of the material, even with a vacuum system.”

Read the original story here : Experts Say Ethanol Study Used Bad Model

Star Tribune

By David Shaffer

CHS Inc., the nation’s largest farmer-owned cooperative, is getting back into the ethanol-making business, hoping that the third time is the charm.

The co-op based in Inver Grove Heights said Wednesday that it will purchase a large ethanol plant in Rochelle, Ill., and is looking to acquire other plants and globally expand sales of the biofuel and its byproduct animal feed called dried distillers grains.

“We are really looking at this as a first ethanol plant,” said Mark Palmquist, who is chief operating officer of CHS’ ag business. “We would be looking at other purchases. This is really a start of a strategy.”

CHS, which had $44.5 billion in revenue in fiscal 2013, has long marketed ethanol and traded distillers grains as part of its vast global commodities business. CHS also owns two petroleum refineries, blends ethanol with gasoline and sells fuel at 1,400 Cenex-brand stations across the country.

The co-op has twice entered — and exited — the business of making ethanol from corn.

In the 1980s, CHS and Archer Daniels Midland Co. owned a small, first-generation ethanol plant in North Dakota, but CHS sold its stake in 1991. Fifteen years later, in 2006, CHS acquired 24 percent of US BioEnergy, which then owned four ethanol plants. But CHS had to write off $74 million of that investment after US BioEnergy merged with VeraSun and the combined company filed for bankruptcy in 2008.

Palmquist said CHS learned a lesson from its passive investment in US BioEnergy, whose business was not integrated with the Minnesota co-op’s commodities-­trading strengths.

“We are a leading trader in DDGs, we are a leading trader in ethanol,” Palmquist said in an interview. “We look at it and say, ‘This time around this [ethanol plant] is something that should be part of our portfolio of operating companies.’ That is why we are taking it on as the full owner of the plant.”

Larry Johnson, a Cologne, Minn., ethanol industry consultant, said CHS’ re-entry into the ethanol business is a sign of the co-op’s confidence in the biofuel industry.

“It shows they have got a high level of optimism in agriculture, ethanol and themselves,” he said. “I think it is a good move.”

CHS didn’t disclose the terms of the acquisition of Illinois River Energy, but said the purchase is a cash deal that is expected to close in June. Palmquist said CHS plans to retain the approximately 60 employees of the plant 80 miles west of Chicago.

The plant was built as a smaller ethanol refinery in 2006, and after a major expansion now produces 133 million gallons of ethanol, along with corn oil and distillers grains.

Sinav Ltd., based in London, has owned the plant since 2012. Sinav is a unit of London-based Harwood Capital and Siem Industries Inc., a diverse company with shipping and oil services segments based in the Cayman Islands. The Illinois operation was Sinav’s only ethanol plant.

Richard Ruebe, CEO of Illinois River Energy, said Sinav put the plant up for sale in January and had multiple bidders. He said CHS has marketed the plant’s ethanol since 2006.

“We have had a strong relationship with them through the highs and lows,” Ruebe said in an interview. “They have been a good business partner.”

Palmquist said the Illinois plant is well run and in a good location for corn and transportation. He wouldn’t say whether CHS has other pending deals for ethanol plants, but said the company’s strategy aims to export ethanol and distillers grains.

“It is becoming more global,” he said of the ethanol business, “and that fits our structure.

Read the original story here : Minnesota Ag Coop CHS Agrees To Buy Ethanol Plant In Illinois

Brainerd Dispatch

May 13, 2014

By Ashwin Raman

A recent opinion piece titled, “Pipelines: Safest Way To Transport, Oil, Gas” by Rolf Westgard which was published in the Brainerd Dispatch on May 1, 2014, contained several inaccurate and misleading statements.

In the piece, Westgard said “there is little difference in emissions from the tar sands oil versus conventional oil” and added “CO2 emissions are the same regardless of the crude source.”

In actuality, lifecycle greenhouse gas emissions, which calculates emissions from the production state to the consumption stage, for crude oil differs in accordance to its source.

The State Department’s report for the Keystone XL Project released in January clearly states that on a lifecycle analysis, Western Canadian Sedimentary Basin crude oil (which will flow through the proposed pipeline) emits 17 percent more greenhouse gases than the average barrel of crude oil refined in the United States.

It said 0.24 million metric tons of CO2 will be emitted per year during the construction period of the Keystone XL project and, once operational, it would emit 1.44 million metric tons of CO2 per year.

Westgard also mentioned the Ogallala aquifer, which is below specific parts of the proposed pipeline, and said that a bigger threat to the aquifer is the farming of corn in those areas for biofuel production, adding it takes 500 gallons of water to produce corn for a gallon of ethanol in Nebraska and Kansas.

A study by Argonne National Laboratory, which is a nonprofit research laboratory operated by the University of Chicago for the Department of Energy, points to a lower amount of water used to produce corn in those states.

In a 2011 study, it said 239 gallons of water is needed to produce corn for a gallon of ethanol in states like Nebraska and Kansas, where rainfall isn’t as much as in states like Minnesota (for illustrative purposes, only 17 to 25 gallons of water is used to produce corn for a gallon of ethanol in Minnesota).

This water usage includes groundwater, surface water, rain water and water that’s reused. It is imperative to note that water usage for corn production is the same irrespective of whether it is used for ethanol or animal feed (which still comprises the bulk of corn production nationwide).

Additionally, during the ethanol production process, only a third of the biomass in a corn kernel goes to ethanol. Another third becomes CO2 which is used for dry ice and bottled drinks while the remaining third is used to produce dried distillers grain, which is a high-protein animal feed.

As such, Argonne said, the amount of water used to produce corn specifically for ethanol in the Great Plains is actually 160 gallons.

It should be pointed out that actual ethanol production, according to the same 2011 Argonne study, only requires 2.7 gallons of water for a gallon of ethanol. In Minnesota, some producers are using only 2 gallons of water.

In another Argonne study released in 2012, it said ethanol reduces greenhouse gas emissions by an average of 44 percent. Using the laboratory’s Greenhouse Gases, Regulated Emissions and Energy Use In Transportation (GREET) model, the Renewable Fuels Association concluded that ethanol reduced 38 million metric tons of greenhouse gases in 2013, which was the equivalent of removing eight million cars from the road.

In contrast, the State Department’s Keystone XL report said the annual 1.44 million metric tons of CO2 emissions from the pipeline is the equivalent to greenhouse gas emissions from 300,000 passenger vehicles a year.

Read the original story here : Pipeline Will Increase CO2; Ethanol Is A Cleaner Option