Executive Director's Column

t rudnicki

By Tim Rudnicki, Esq

Historical GasBuddy.com price charts tell some contrasting stories about the average retail price of gasoline over the last eleven years.  A gallon of gasoline skyrocketed from a low of $1.44, when a barrel of crude oil was selling for $29 just before the Iraq war, to $4.10 per gallon before the Great Recession when a barrel of crude oil was selling for $141.  Then the oil and gasoline prices of the Great Recession plunged to $34 per barrel and $1.64 per gallon of gasoline.  But those prices started to climb until they hit $112 per barrel and $4 per gallon of gasoline by the summer of 2011.  And yes, the price for a barrel of crude oil and a gallon of gasoline has dropped again, but where do you think those prices will be headed and why?

The “why” part of the question, for the moment, is beyond the scope of this short column.  Crude oil and gasoline prices stem from a host of global commodity market, economic, political, supply and demand and other rational and irrational factors.  Analyzing the why prices fluctuate issue would involve many factors including the battle between Saudi Arabia and U.S. shale producers as explained in our blog “Cheap Gas May Not Last For Long.

Focusing on the “where” are prices headed part of the question, however, might serve as a useful guide as we, as a society, attempt to make some timely, rational decisions about our energy future and concomitant quality of life.  To be clear, the “where” part of the question is complicated, but one underlying factor will continue to drive where the price of petroleum, regardless of the short-term price swings, heads and that factor is:  finiteness.

“Earth's endowment of conventionally reservoired crude oil is a large but finite volume.”  See the Energy Information Administration (EIA) article “Long-Term World Oil Supply Scenarios:  The Future Is Neither as Bleak or Rosy as Some Assert.”  As the report explains, the future is neither bleak nor rosy for a couple of reasons.  Based on a two percent crude oil growth rate, some predictions indicate the future recoverable amount of oil could meet demand for at least another 32 years or until approximately 2047.  At that time, however, revised predictions show a steep drop in recoverable oil over a span of only another 13 years.  In other words, we have a few years before life as we know it with crude oil ceases, but there really is a limited supply of crude oil no matter what oil producing nations do about short-term pumping strategies.

Put another way - crude oil, in all forms, will become increasingly scarce.  As the finite crude oil resource becomes increasingly scarce, the price will rise.  Eventually, the price per barrel of crude oil and a gallon of gasoline will rise to the point where the last few barrels on and in the earth will be too expensive to extract or use for a variety of purposes including transportation fuel.  My take on the recoverable crude oil predictions is this: if we, as a society, were to allow our quality of life to be dictated by crude oil, the future is actually very bleak.  Fortunately, we are liberating ourselves from the constraints of crude oil, a finite fossil fuel.

Thanks to the Renewable Fuel Standard and Minnesota’s Petroleum Replacement Statute, we are actually on a brighter, more rosy, energy path.  That path is heading toward greater availability and use of clean, renewable biofuels.  With renewable biofuels we can sustain a higher quality of life far into the future.

Biofuels, such as ethanol, are made from renewable plant material or biomass.  Plants, the original solar collectors, use sunlight, soil nutrients and carbon dioxide from the atmosphere to grow.  The plant material, or biomass, will be available for making biofuels and other products as long as good soil, adequate moisture and sunlight are available.  Biofuels can supply our energy needs today and far into the future because, unlike crude oil, biofuels are made from renewable, regenerative plant biomass.

Finite crude oil will continue to escalate in price while biofuels actually help to suppress fuel prices.  Professors Xiaodong Du and Dermot J. Hayes, Center for Agriculture and Rural Development, studied the impact the availability of ethanol in the fuel market has on the price of gasoline.  Their findings, which examined wholesale gasoline prices within the fuel supply chain, are astounding.  In the Midwest, for example, ethanol was found to offset the demand for petroleum and thereby had a price cascade effect which held gasoline prices down by as much as $1.69 per gallon. 

Let’s continue to heed the warning signs about finite crude oil and upward trending price lines for both crude oil and gasoline.  The prices may fall in the short-term, but historical pricing shows the trend line has been, and will continue to be, upward.  On the other hand, the Renewable Fuel Standard and Minnesota Petroleum Replacement Statute call for giving consumers access to more renewable biofuels.  So let’s not be lulled into complacency because the currently low gasoline prices will eventually shoot up again.

We still have some time to make a smooth transition from crude oil to greater use of renewable biofuels.  Here is what you can do today to make sure all of us stay on a sustainable, greener, more affordable energy future path:

1. The next time you go to fuel up at your favorite retail station, use E15 in your 2001 or newer vehicle.  If you don’t find E15 at your fuel retailer, (1) tell your fuel retailer you want E15 and ask when they plan to carry E15 and (2) tell me the name of your favorite fuel retailer so we can help them launch E15 for you.

2. If you have a Flex Fuel Vehicle, use E85.  If you don’t find E85 or other mid-level ethanol blends at your fuel retailer, (1) tell you fuel retailer you want E85 and ask when they plan to carry it and (2) tell me the name of your favorite fuel retailer so we can help them launch E85 for you.

3. Contact your legislators and let them know you support the Renewable Fuel Standard and the Minnesota Petroleum Replacement Standard because biofuels are (A) good for the environment (up to 57% fewer greenhouse gas emissions compared to gasoline), (B) support 48,000 jobs in Minnesota, (C) inject $11.7 billion into the economy each year, (D) keep energy dollars in Minnesota and (E) help consumers save money.  For more facts and where they come from, check out the MBA website at www.mnbiofuels.org .

From all of us at Minnesota Bio-Fuels Association, we wish you a Happy New Year.

As always, you can direct your questions to me This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it.

 

 

t rudnicki

By Tim Rudnicki, Esq

Yes, the Renewable Fuel Standard and Minnesota’s Petroleum Replacement Statute both call for increasing use of biofuels such as ethanol.  And, most importantly, consumers, based on our survey work, seek out and have been using increasing amounts of E85 and E15.  One complaint we hear from consumers, however, is about the lack of access to E15 or E85 at their favorite fuel retail station locations.

What can be done to give more consumers greater access to E15 and higher blends of biofuels and why does this matter?  Access to higher blends of biofuels does matter for some practical and profound reasons.  With 18 retail fuel stations in Minnesota now offering E15 (the “new regular”), many consumers have already had the opportunity to experience the satisfaction and benefits of using a “green fuel” in their vehicles.  They save money at the pump, keep energy dollars in Minnesota, use a product that supports thousands of jobs in Minnesota and drive down greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. 

With respect to GHG emissions, if you are driving a non-flex fuel vehicle manufactured after the year 2000, you can immediately reduce GHG emissions the next time you fill your tank with E15.  By using E15 (5% more ethanol compared to regular gasoline) the carbon dioxide emissions drop.  The emissions drop because liquid biofuels are made from renewable ingredients that captured, used and stored solar energy.  Counting all the inputs used to grow crops, make and transport biofuels and use the biofuel in your vehicle’s engine, the GHG emissions are up to 57% less compared to petroleum gasoline.

How does the use of E15 translate into GHG numbers?  If the fuel used in Minnesota during 2013 had contained E15, carbon dioxide emissions would have been pushed down by another 399,161 metric tons.  That amount of reduction in GHG emissions by using E15 is equivalent to removing 84,034 vehicles from Minnesota roads for one year.  Put another way, that emission reduction from E15 is also equivalent to operating 110 wind turbines, each at 1.94 MW, for one year.  In other words, in addition to the economic, consumer and energy independence benefits associated with E15, E15 can contribute in a very profound way to reducing GHG emissions today!

So what can be done about giving more consumers greater access to E15?  First, let’s focus on the reality at retail fuel stations. Some who are content with the status quo (that is,  petroleum continues to limit consumer choice at the pump), might say it’s too difficult or too expensive for a retail fuel station to make the changes necessary to offer E15.  To that comment we would ask, what station are we talking about and what changes are you referring to?

Let’s get the site specific facts before drawing any conclusions.  A retail fuel station might already have the proper storage and dispensing system or otherwise be able to offer consumers E15 today.  The easiest way to find out is to contact the Minnesota Bio-Fuels Association.  Interested fuel retailers can explore whether their station might be an E15 candidate by simply calling Greg at 612.888.9138, ext. 104 and asking about the E15 Project.

One big incremental pathway forward for biofuels and consumers is within reach right now.  That pathway is called E15.  The Minnesota Bio-Fuels Association can help retailers determine if they are an E15 candidate.  E15 can provide retailers with an important addition to their product line up and give consumers the competitively priced high octane fuel that will keep them coming back for more.

As all stakeholders work to make more E15 available to consumers across Minnesota, we are building a solid parallel pathway that will make even higher blends of biofuels available to consumers in the coming years.  Maximizing all that can be done with E15 today will provide the solid parallel pathway we can use to give consumers even greater access to higher blends of ethanol and other biofuels.

Meanwhile, the next time you go to your retail station for a fill, look for E15 if you have a non-flex fuel vehicle manufactured after the year 2000.  If you don’t find E15, ask for it and give the retailer Greg’s telephone number.  By working together, we can do even more to give consumers greater access to renewable biofuels today and tomorrow.

As always, you can direct your questions to me This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it.

t rudnicki

By Tim Rudnicki, Esq

Minnesota State Agencies’ opaque, top-down approach to future fuels in the transportation sector is very disappointing and dangerous.  The Minnesota Pollution Control Agency (MPCA), Environmental Quality Board (EQB) and Department of Commerce are among several branches of State Government either participating in or using the Climate Solutions and Economic Opportunities (CSEO) project to create a new greenhouse gas (GHG) emission reduction policy.  By its own reckoning, the MPCA determined in 2013 that the combination of increased vehicle efficiency as well as biofuels helped to significantly reduce GHG emissions in the transportation sector.  Now, even with Governor Dayton’s repeated call for efforts to significantly increase the amount of biofuel available to consumers, the MPCA denies ethanol any future role in reducing GHG emissions.

What new finding led the MPCA to reverse its position on the positive role biofuels have played?  More importantly, what finding led the MPCA to set a predetermined policy outcome which (1) rejects the future role of ethanol and (2) caps biofuel use at E10 rather than embrace the more significant role biofuels, such as E15 and higher blends, can play in further reducing GHG emissions in the future?

In an attempt to understand the MPCA and CSEO positions on and reasoning about biofuels, the Minnesota Bio-Fuels Association (MBA) launched repeated agency information requests over a two month period of time.  Eventually MBA was provided with a spreadsheet.  The spreadsheet contains inaccurate information and assumptions about Minnesota’s petroleum replacement law, transportation fuel use and questionable lifecycle GHG calculations.  MBA’s follow up information requests to agencies were met with advice from a project facilitator to participate in a webinar session which purportedly was to allow for information exchange.  Instead, the webinar was limited to accepting written participant questions which were screened by the Environmental Quality Board.

The lack of transparency in the CSEO process was especially evident as the CSEO presenter attempted to over simplify and compartmentalize complex social, economic and environmental issues.  One written question read to the CSEO presenter asked: by what amount can E15 reduce GHG emissions compared to E10 (regular unleaded gasoline)?  Without any explanation regarding the variables in the equation, the CSEO presenter provided the answer - zero.

This lack of transparency by CSEO regarding models, variables and assumptions is at odds with the rest of the scientific community.  And this flawed CSEO process threatens to derail the progress Minnesota is making as it reduces GHG emissions in the transportation sector.  With respect to biofuels such as ethanol, there exists a vast body of knowledge and scientific information about the entire GHG lifecycle for ethanol including, for example, upstream and downstream emissions associated with growing renewable ingredients, biorefining and actually using biofuels, such as E15, in motor vehicles.

What are the facts?  What does science tell us, rather than an opaque agency top-down process, about E15 (15% ethanol, 85% gasoline)?  As reported on February 16, MBA checked with Dr. Steffen Mueller, principal research economist at the University of Illinois at Chicago, about E15’s potential to reduce CO2 emissions.  He informed us that a gallon of E15 saves 1.26 g of CO2 equivalent (CO2e) per megajoule over regular E10 (gasoline that contains 10 percent ethanol). CO2e includes carbon dioxide, nitrous oxide and methane.  Further, according to Mueller, should all 2.4 billion gallons of gasoline consumed annually be converted to E15 from E10, CO2e savings in the state would total 358,000 metric tons annually.  Using the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency’s greenhouse gas equivalencies calculator, this would amount to eliminating 75,368 passenger vehicles from Minnesota’s roads annually.

To the MPCA, EQB and Energy Division in the Department of Commerce we ask, what part of the science do you question?  Let’s have that conversation with scientists, not project facilitators.  How many more meetings do we need to have in an attempt to more fully inform the CSEO process when the process is actually closed to the facts and science?  Given the GHG emission reductions called for in Minnesota law and knowing E15 can be part of the solution by immediately reducing GHG emissions, when will Minnesota State Agencies reject the flawed CSEO process and allow the science on biofuels and GHG emission reduction to enter into the analysis?

As always, you can direct your questions to me This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it.

t rudnicki

By Timothy J. Rudnicki, Esq

A growing number of consumers are coming to expect E15 at all their favorite retail fueling stations and have concerns when they can’t find E15. Generally, those concerns are called into the Minnesota Bio-Fuels Association with the callers prefacing their questions like this: I have been using E15 for the last six months because I am saving money at the pump, I know the higher octane is good for my engine, I feel good about using a renewable fuel, but what do I do if I can’t find E15?

We appreciate your inquiries. The question about “what to do when E15 is not available” signals to us that consumers really do care about the type of fuel they use in their vehicles. To the questioners, we now have two answers for you. First, if you’ve been using E15 for your 2001 or newer vehicle but can’t find it near you, ask your neighborhood retailer to carry E15. The Minnesota Bio-Fuels Association can help these retailers, wherever they are in Minnesota, learn about E15 and assist them in taking the necessary steps to begin dispensing it.

Second, to all those who would like to see even greater access to and availability of E15, call your legislators and ask them to support the E15 Dispenser bill which has been introduced in both houses of Minnesota's state legislature (Senate File 1912 and House File 1904). This bill can pave the way for E15 to be made widely available throughout Minnesota.

Among the key components of the bill is to address issues currently faced by retailers interested in offering E15. As it stands, there is an information void with regards to consistent, reliable and accurate technical information regarding fuel storage and dispensing systems when it concerns E15. Moreover, in some cases, there are retailers that only need to make a few simple changes to their fuel dispenser to offer E15. The E15 Dispenser Bill will streamline the process and make it easier for retailers to carry E15.

Some 300, or 10 percent, of fuel retailers in the state will be partnered with under the first phase of the E15 Dispenser bill and once these stations begin offering E15, we will make a significant step towards reducing statewide greenhouse gas emissions.

When E15 becomes the new regular fuel in Minnesota, annual CO2 equivalent emissions will be reduced by 358,000 metric tons (equivalent to removing 75,368 passenger vehicles form Minnesota's roads for a year). Moreover, under the E15 Dispenser bill, consumers stand to save between $7.6 million to $10.9 million at the pump as E15 is generally priced 7 to 10 cents lower than regular unleaded gasoline.

Minnesota legislators recognize that more and more of their constituents would like access to E15 because it’s a high-octane fuel (88 octane rating) that reduces greenhouse gas emissions and prices at the pump. But to ensure passage of this bill and deliver this victory to all Minnesotans, be sure to voice your support for Senate File 1912 and House File 1904. For more details, please contact me This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it..

t rudnicki

By Timothy J. Rudnicki, Esq

Telephone calls and email messages to Minnesota legislators from supporters of ethanol, energy independence, consumer savings at the pump and environmental benefits are helping to move a bill at the legislature. As was reported to you in the last newsletter, some 300, or approximately 10 percent, of fuel retailers in Minnesota could be partnered with under the first phase of the E15 Dispenser bill if it is fully funded. When those fuel retailers begin offering E15 and displacing more carbon intensive finite fossil fuel, Minnesotans will make even more progress in fulfilling the Minnesota petroleum replacement law as well as statewide efforts to reduce greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions.

Minnesota House File 1904 and Senate File 1912 are now in the next to last phase of the legislative process. In the next few days, a Conference Committee will be named to work out the difference in a tax bill which includes provisions and funding to help fuel retailers make E15 available to thousands more Minnesotans. Some of the benefits to Minnesotans by having E15 broadly available include reducing annual carbon dioxide equivalent emissions by 358,000 metric tons (equivalent to removing 75,368 passenger vehicles form Minnesota's roads for a year). And under the E15 Dispenser bill pilot project, consumers stand to save between $7.6 million to $10.9 million at the pump as E15 is generally priced 7 to 10 cents lower than regular unleaded gasoline.

The House and Senate Conferees who will determine whether the E15 Dispenser bill moves forward are expected to be named within the next few days. We will continue to track and monitor the progress of the bill. Once the Conferees are named, the Minnesota Bio-Fuels Association will make an announcement. You will be able to use that information to contact Conferees and remind them about your support for the provisions needed to make more E15 available to consumers across Minnesota.

We are close to a victory for Minnesotans who want more clean, renewable ethanol, greater energy independence, savings at the pump and the environmental benefits that come with Minnesota grown biofuels. For more details, please contact me This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it..

t rudnicki

By Timothy J. Rudnicki, Esq

What the U.S. EPA does, sometimes, so does the Minnesota Pollution Control Agency (MPCA). At present, that means keeping the blinders on with respect to the science centered on E15 and its compatibility in fuel storage and dispensing systems. Unfortunately, the failure of Agencies to keep the focus on science also means restraining E15 from having widespread access in the marketplace even though E15 is a least cost method by which to immediately reduce greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. To both the U.S. EPA and MPCA, I say, tear down those blinders and be open to empirical evidence.

Lately, at some White House briefings, the United States military has been underscoring the national security challenges presented by the continuing rise in GHG emissions and the concomitant climate change. The military, however, is also underscoring its expanding use of biofuels to provide a renewable source of energy for its operations and to decrease GHG emissions. What’s striking about this latest focus on biofuels by the U.S. military is its robust support for biofuels so as to reduce emissions of climate changing gases.

While the military’s focus on the GHG benefits of biofuels might come as a surprise to some, the GHG benefits of biofuels have been well studied and documented for more than a decade.  To make the GHG benefits of ethanol a bit more parochial, if all the spark ignition engine transportation fuel (Regular gasoline with 10% ethanol) used in Minnesota were E15 rather than E10, we could cut annual GHG emissions by an additional 358,000 metric tons. 

Another, but perhaps less practical, way to achieve the same reduction in GHG emissions is to pull slightly over 75,300 vehicles off Minnesota roadways for a year.  Still another way to look at the GHG benefit E15 can provide is to recognize it would take at least 98, two megawatt wind turbines a year to displace the same amount of GHG emissions that E15 can displace in 2001 and newer motor vehicles on the road right here, right now.

So what are we waiting for?  Why is the U.S. EPA and MPCA fixated on perpetuating the fictitious blend wall by restraining consumer access to E15 and maintaining the status quo for carbon intensive, finite fossil fuels?  After sitting through hours of meetings with the MPCA, one reason for delay is because some agency staff think and feel that E10 is an illegal fuel and that E15 will start seeping out of all the underground storage tanks, pipes and dispensers.  Perhaps those are good thoughts and feelings to have and from which to begin ascertaining the facts, but we need to ask, again, are those thoughts and feelings based on science, the evidence?

To better understand the science and evidence, we can turn to a new National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) report released in May 2015, entitled E15 and Infrastructure (the “Report”).  Here are some key findings in the Report:

"It is often stated that tanks cannot be used to store E15, but this assumption is incorrect as the majority of installed tanks can store blends above E10. For many decades, underground storage tank (UST) manufacturers approved their tanks for blends up to E100…"

"…there are UL (Underwriters Laboratories) testing standards available now for all gasoline–ethanol blends from 0% to 85% ethanol… Certain equipment types are typically UL listed—these include tanks, pipes, dispenser, hanging hardware, submersible turbine pumps, and shear valves."

"A review was conducted with each manufacturer to determine compatibility with ethanol blends. There is an extensive list of E15 and E15+ compatible equipment available in the appendices."

With respect to E10, the Report examined literature from the past 15 years to find out if “…there were any negative impacts during the multi-year deployment of E10 nationwide” and, based on extensive research, determined that “No incidents of E10 causing releases (also referred to as leaks) from UST systems were identified. None of the reviewed literature noted any association between E10 and any specific UST release. The EPA OUST’s Performance Measures’ data on UST releases were reviewed, and as E10 was deployed nationwide, the trend was fewer UST releases.”

Once again, the Agencies have put the burden of proof on E10 and E15. And E10 and E15 have met that burden and demonstrated, once again, they are effective and compatible with most of the fueling infrastructure.  To the Agencies, now you have more evidence to support the facilitation of widespread access to E15.  Now is the time to allow E15 to thrive in the marketplace so consumers can save at the pump, we can displace more carbon intensive petroleum and we can further drive down GHG emissions by using more homegrown, renewable biofuels.

As always, you can direct your questions to me This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it..

t rudnicki

By Timothy J. Rudnicki, Esq

For those who take up reading the Federal Register from time-to-time, you might have noticed the 53 pages from June 10, 2015, dealing with the Renewable Fuel Standard and the proposed Renewable Volume Obligations.  The U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), in short, provides a host of excuses for not keeping on track with the volume requirements set forth in the Renewable Fuel Standard which is the law of the land.  Rather than working with stakeholders to fully implement the law, the EPA, by their own words, capitulate to the petroleum industry.

Consider this from the EPA:  “...we have seen analysis concluding that the ambitious statutory targets in the Clean Air Act exceed real world conditions.”  And the EPA, in its Regulatory Announcement, goes on to cite, for instance, its consideration of factors such as the market and infrastructure.  Unfortunately, the EPA is blinded by the blend wall, this notion that the market can only handle 10% ethanol at the most.

Last Thursday, June 25th, at least 200 people descended upon Kansas City, Kansas to help the EPA see the real “real world conditions.”  What if the EPA had considered the latest study showing that virtually all the fuel storage and dispensing equipment is compatible with E15, which has been the new regular fuel since 2012?  That’s at least 15 billion gallons of ethanol.  What if the EPA had acknowledged that some states, like Minnesota, are relying on stability in the interpretation and application of the law as it invests in making more renewable biofuels available to Minnesotans?

The Minnesota Bio-Fuels Association did its part to help the EPA get a better grasp of the real world.  Perhaps the EPA will seriously consider the input from, and collective wisdom of, all those who testified last week and reach a new conclusion: drop the proposal to deviate from the Renewable Volume Obligations in law because they are just right and it’s the law.


Testimony on the Renewable Fuel Standard
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency Hearing - RFS Proposal
Kansas City, Kansas
June 25, 2015

Delivered by Timothy J. Rudnicki, Esq
Executive Director
Minnesota Bio-Fuels Association


We must not make a scarecrow of the law,
Setting it up to fear the birds of prey,
And let it keep one shape, till custom make it
Their perch and not their terror. – Shakespeare, Measure for Measure, Act II, Scene 1, 11.

The United States Environmental Protection Agency’s proposed Renewable Volume Obligations come nearly 412 years after Shakespeare wrote those words in “Measure for Measure”.  Here is the connection to the situation we face today. 

Congress, after much deliberation, crafted the Renewable Fuel Standard.  It has been the law of the land for eight years.  It was established with the unequivocal purpose of moving us, as a Nation, away from finite, carbon intensive fossil fuel petroleum and onto a changing, incremental pathway toward greater use of biofuels made from renewable ingredients.

The EPA’s consistent refusal to fully adhere to and implement the black letter Renewable Volume Obligations has given the Renewable Fuel Standard one shape, the shape of a bogus, fictitious blend wall which has become the petroleum industry’s perch rather than its terror.

While the EPA cites lack of infrastructure as an excuse to backslide on the Renewable Volume Obligations, the Agency ignores reality and sends a conflicting message to stakeholders in the fuel supply chain.  The EPA, however, can get it right this time:  adhere to the law and reckon with the infrastructure facts in the field.

According to findings from the National Renewable Energy Laboratory most existing fuel storage and dispensing infrastructure can already handle up to a 15% blend of ethanol and 85% petroleum gasoline.  Nearly nine out of 10 light duty vehicles on the highway can use the additional 5% ethanol in E15, or what has been the new regular fuel since 2012.  But here we are today.  The EPA has the opportunity to get it right and we all have the opportunity to replicate effective models to get the job done.

Using the results of independent studies and with the expectation that the EPA will uphold the Renewable Volume Obligations, Minnesota Legislators worked to craft a bill to introduce an additional 160 million gallons of ethanol into the fuel supply chain.  Governor Dayton recently signed the bill into law to assist a limited number of retailers in making appropriate low-cost adjustments to their fuel dispensing equipment so they can offer E15 to their customers.

This action, especially if replicated across the United States, will help to meet or exceed the Renewable Volume Obligations and provide significant environmental benefits.  Dr. Mueller with the University of Illinois at Chicago determined that the additional 5% ethanol in the Minnesota fuel supply alone will further reduce greenhouse gas emissions by 358,000 metric tons annually.  That’s equivalent to taking approximately 75,368 vehicles off the roadways for a year.

To sustain this progress, to the EPA we say:  change your custom and practice,  don’t roll back the Renewable Volume Obligations this time.  Instead, maintain and enforce the Renewable Volume Obligations in the law.  EPA’s adherence to the law will give all of us the certainty we need in Minnesota and across this Nation to continue making the necessary local policy and equipment adjustments to fulfill the letter and intent of the Renewable Fuel Standard.

As always, you can direct your questions to me This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it.

t rudnicki

By Tim Rudnicki, Esq

The Minnesota Bio-Fuels Association, just as did many individuals and organizations, submitted comments to the United States Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) last week. In preparing to submit comments, we reviewed the EPA proposed rule found in the Federal Register (FR), Volume 80, No. 111, starting at page 33100. While this might not come as a surprise to anyone reading this column, the EPA, in its proposed rule, did use the phrase “blendwall” and "E10 blendwall" on more than one occasion. What is surprising, however, is the EPA's continued backward looking assessment of total consumption capacity for renewable biofuel.

For instance, the EPA entirely dismisses the role E15 is playing, and will grow to play, in exceeding the Congressional volume targets set forth in the Renewable Fuel Standard (FR at 33126). The EPA, instead, fixates on the old regular E10 and stops its calculations there. From a Minnesota perspective the Energy Information Administration (EIA) reports indicate we are at the 12.2% level of ethanol use. Rather than looking in its rear view mirror where it will only see E10, the EPA ought to look outside and just up ahead.

Did the EPA see, to the side and ahead, the recent report from the National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL)? Findings from NREL indicate that virtually all the existing components currently used to store and dispense fuel is compatible with and capable of handling E15, the new regular unleaded fuel.  Or did the EPA notice that nearly nine out of 10 vehicles on the highway can use E15? With data provided by the EPA and doing some math, it seems the national E15 annual consumption capacity is close to at least 18.5 billion gallons for each of the next few years.

Interestingly, the EPA segments biofuel consumption capacity by FFVs and everything else. At page 33128, the EPA states: "With regard to E85, according to EIA there will be about 16 million FFVs in the in-use fleet in 2016 with a total consumption capacity of about 14 billion gallons of E 85." The EPA then goes on to discuss market access issues for FFVs, considers potential consumption if at least 5% of FFVs had access to E85 and notes that the "vast majority of vehicles are within reasonable range of more than one retail station on typical trips." Aggregating FFVs and, for example, all the 2001 and newer light duty vehicles which can use E15, the annual total consumption capacity is 32.5 billion gallons. 

Does aggregation provide the EPA with another perspective by which to come to the conclusion that it ought to enforce the RFS as written by Congress? Perhaps the totality of the many thoughtful comments that were submitted to the EPA will provide the Agency with the type of public comments which the Agency can use to conclude it ought to comply with and enforce the Renewable Fuel Standard.

What do you think about aggregation or other parts of the EPA proposed rule? As always, you can direct your questions to me This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it.